"Let's be real, the war has started," a former minister tells me. "What happens in the Middle East never stays in the Middle East." The conflict in the Middle East, involving Israel, Hamas, and Hezbollah, has far-reaching implications beyond the region. It has caused humanitarian horror, with thousands of casualties and displaced civilians. The safety of friends and relatives in the UK is a concern, as well as the potential increase in refugees heading to Europe. Tensions have also risen in the UK, with protests, antisemitism, and pro-Palestinian politicians gaining traction. If Israel targets Iran's oil industry, the costs could impact everyone.