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How the U.S. Election Matters for the Rest of the World

The outcome of the U.S. election will have significant implications for countries around the world. In Israel, a Trump victory would align with the government's opposition to Palestinian statehood, while a Harris administration may pressure Israel to engage in talks with Palestinians. Russia sees little difference between Trump and Harris on Ukraine, but hopes to negotiate a deal with the U.S. president. China is divided on which candidate would be better, with Trump's tariffs posing a threat to China's economy but his lack of interest in defending Taiwan being welcomed. Europe is anxious about Trump's tariffs and potential undermining of NATO, while a Harris victory may lead to a more self-reliant Europe. The global trade system is at stake, with Trump promising aggressive tariffs that could trigger trade wars and economic decline. In Africa, Trump is seen as a strong leader, while Harris's African heritage resonates with the continent. South Africa may draw closer to BRICS under a Trump presidency. Mexico faces challenges with heightened tensions at the U.S.-Mexico border and the potential for heavy tariffs, regardless of the election outcome. The United States' actions on climate change will impact the world, with Harris likely to continue Biden's renewable energy policies and Trump potentially slowing the transition and giving China an advantage in renewable energy technology.

Original article source: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/31/world/us-election-world.html
Source Id: 8388921400

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